🕵🏾‍♂️ The Conspiracy Dungeon 🕵🏾‍♂️

Question everything. Test everything. Follow the evidence.

💰 Mike's Fade the Public

Fade teams receiving 65% or more of public dollars: spread, moneyline, or totals.

Status: Collecting evidence

🌙 Primetime Underdogs

Investigating underdog performance in nationally televised games.

Status: Weekly results

📉 Reverse Line Movement

Investigating games where betting lines move against the heavily backed side.

Status: Tracking recorded lines

🏈 NFL Anomalies

Unusual fumbles, turnovers, penalties, and other patterns.

Status: Four event categories

Mike's Fade the Public

2026 • Week 5

DraftKings • Public money ≥ 65% • Three markets

This week's results

New week appears Wednesday at noon Eastern. Cover rate excludes pushes.

Market Tallies

2026 • Week 5 • 1 qualifying fades • 0 pending

Spread (ATS) 0-0-0

0 fades • 0 pending

N/A covers

Profit: Awaiting results

Moneyline (SU) 0-0-0

0 fades • 0 pending

N/A SU wins

Profit: Awaiting results

Total (O/U) 0-1-0

1 fades • 0 pending

0.0% covers

Profit: -1.00u • ROI -100.0%

One unit risked per qualifying fade at its saved odds. Pushes refund the stake and are excluded from win/cover rates. Tallies count selections, so one game can qualify in three markets.

Previous weeks

No previous-week three-market quotes recorded yet.

Running tallies — started Week 6, 2026*

Spread (ATS): 0-0-0 • 6 pending

Moneyline (SU): 0-0-0 • 4 pending

Total (O/U): 0-0-0 • 13 pending

* All three-market quotes are retained from collection onward. Earlier ATS-only snapshots remain saved separately.

View all recorded weeks

BUF @ LA

Week 5 • 2026-10-12

Spread (ATS)
Public money
BUF 58.0% • LA 42.0%Bets: BUF 66.0% • LA 34.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
BUF 63.0% • LA 37.0%Bets: BUF 62.0% • LA 38.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 85.0% • Under 15.0%Bets: Over 74.0% • Under 26.0%
Under 55.5 (-110)Loss • -1.00u

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