One blended ATS pick per game, plus Scout's over/under pick. Experimental forecasts, saved before kickoff.
ATS uses 50% Scout 4.0 scoring margin + 50% The Plug points-only margin. These are not calibrated cover probabilities. No injury/weather adjustment is applied.
Component forecasts are saved separately locally against the same quoted line. Totals use Scout's separate model. Existing standalone ATS probability forecasts remain a separate experiment.
First eligible forecast stays locked; source times and original lines are preserved for grading.
DEN +3
Projected winner: SEA by 2.9 points. · Spread edge: 0.1 points.
Result: Pending
Over 40.5 · Estimated total: 42.7 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
JAX -3
Projected winner: JAX by 4.8 points. · Spread edge: 1.8 points.
Result: Pending
Under 42.5 · Estimated total: 37.7 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
BAL -4.5
Projected winner: BAL by 5.4 points. · Spread edge: 0.9 points.
Result: Pending
Over 40.5 · Estimated total: 41.3 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
CAR +1.5
Projected winner: CAR by 3.5 points. · Spread edge: 5.0 points.
Result: Pending
Over 41.5 · Estimated total: 42.9 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
ATL +3
Projected winner: ATL by 0.6 points. · Spread edge: 3.6 points.
Result: Pending
Over 49.5 · Estimated total: 54.3 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
NYG -1.5
Projected winner: NYG by 4.6 points. · Spread edge: 3.1 points.
Result: Pending
Over 45.5 · Estimated total: 45.9 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
NYJ +7.5
Projected winner: NE by 2.4 points. · Spread edge: 5.1 points.
Result: Pending
Over 43.5 · Estimated total: 45.1 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
TB +3
Projected winner: PIT by 0.7 points. · Spread edge: 2.3 points.
Result: Pending
Over 40.5 · Estimated total: 43.3 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
TEN +7
Projected winner: IND by 3.5 points. · Spread edge: 3.5 points.
Result: Pending
Over 44.5 · Estimated total: 47.0 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
ARI +12.5
Projected winner: LA by 5.4 points. · Spread edge: 7.1 points.
Result: Pending
Under 52.5 · Estimated total: 50.3 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
LV +5.5
Projected winner: BUF by 1.0 points. · Spread edge: 4.5 points.
Result: Pending
Under 53.5 · Estimated total: 52.3 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
KC -8.5
Projected winner: KC by 10.2 points. · Spread edge: 1.7 points.
Result: Pending
Over 42.5 · Estimated total: 44.1 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
DAL +1.5
Projected winner: DAL by 1.1 points. · Spread edge: 2.6 points.
Result: Pending
Under 52.5 · Estimated total: 50.4 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
SF -7.5
Projected winner: SF by 10.4 points. · Spread edge: 2.9 points.
Result: Pending
Under 50.5 · Estimated total: 50.4 points.
DraftKings · Quote observed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET
The original scoring baseline ignores opponent quality, injuries, weather, QB changes and home-field effects. It is not a calibrated cover probability or recommendation. Historical rankings remain descriptive evidence.
Underdog 2026 ATS: 0–4–0 | 4 completed games
🌍 London — designated home team may not have normal home-field advantage
🔎 Historical ranking changes across eras
Rough scoring baseline: PHI 16.0 · JAX 24.6
Against saved +7.5: -1.1 point cushion
Form sees a close spread
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 18.8 · PA/G: 23.2
Diff/G: -4.5
ATS: 0–4–0
Last 3 ATS: LLL
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 26.0 · PA/G: 13.2
Diff/G: +12.8
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: LWW
Underdog 2026 ATS: 0–3–1 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: GB 17.2 · CHI 27.1
Against saved +1.5: -8.4 point cushion
Form leans favorite
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 18.2 · PA/G: 26.2
Diff/G: -8.0
ATS: 0–3–1
Last 3 ATS: LLP
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 28.0 · PA/G: 16.2
Diff/G: +11.8
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: LWW
Underdog 2026 ATS: 1–3–0 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: MIA 16.4 · CIN 24.7
Against saved +6.5: -1.8 point cushion
Form sees a close spread
4 games · 0–4 SU
PF/G: 11.5 · PA/G: 25.2
Diff/G: -13.8
ATS: 1–3–0
Last 3 ATS: LLW
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 24.2 · PA/G: 21.2
Diff/G: +3.0
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: WLL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 3–1–0 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: CLE 20.6 · NYJ 21.4
Against saved +2.5: +1.7 point cushion
Form sees a close spread
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 20.2 · PA/G: 23.8
Diff/G: -3.5
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: WWW
4 games · 1–3 SU
PF/G: 19.0 · PA/G: 21.0
Diff/G: -2.0
ATS: 2–1–1
Last 3 ATS: WPL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 2–2–0 | 4 completed games
🔎 Historical ranking changes across eras
Rough scoring baseline: TEN 20.5 · HOU 20.9
Against saved +7.5: +7.1 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 0–4 SU
PF/G: 13.8 · PA/G: 20.8
Diff/G: -7.0
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: WLW
4 games · 0–4 SU
PF/G: 21.0 · PA/G: 27.2
Diff/G: -6.2
ATS: 0–4–0
Last 3 ATS: LLL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 3–1–0 | 4 completed games
🔎 Recent form and historical rankings both favor the underdog
Rough scoring baseline: IND 23.6 · PIT 22.6
Against saved +2.5: +3.5 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 25.5 · PA/G: 26.0
Diff/G: -0.5
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: WWW
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 19.2 · PA/G: 21.8
Diff/G: -2.5
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: LWL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 4–0–0 | 4 completed games
🔎 Historical ranking changes across eras
Rough scoring baseline: LV 24.0 · NE 18.6
Against saved +3.5: +8.9 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 28.8 · PA/G: 21.0
Diff/G: +7.8
ATS: 4–0–0
Last 3 ATS: WWW
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 16.2 · PA/G: 19.2
Diff/G: -3.0
ATS: 2–1–1
Last 3 ATS: WLW
Underdog 2026 ATS: 2–2–0 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: NO 19.5 · MIN 26.8
Against saved +2.5: -4.8 point cushion
Form leans favorite
4 games · 1–3 SU
PF/G: 26.2 · PA/G: 32.0
Diff/G: -5.8
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: WLL
4 games · 4–0 SU
PF/G: 21.5 · PA/G: 12.8
Diff/G: +8.8
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: WWL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 3–1–0 | 4 completed games
🔎 Historical ranking changes across eras
Rough scoring baseline: NYG 25.5 · WAS 20.9
Against saved +4.5: +9.1 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 20.5 · PA/G: 19.8
Diff/G: +0.8
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: LWW
4 games · 1–3 SU
PF/G: 22.0 · PA/G: 30.5
Diff/G: -8.5
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: LWL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 0–3–1 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: LAC 20.1 · DEN 22.5
Against saved +3.5: +1.1 point cushion
Form sees a close spread
4 games · 0–4 SU
PF/G: 16.8 · PA/G: 26.5
Diff/G: -9.8
ATS: 0–3–1
Last 3 ATS: LLP
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 18.5 · PA/G: 23.5
Diff/G: -5.0
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: WWL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 2–2–0 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: ARI 26.8 · DET 29.5
Against saved +5.5: +2.8 point cushion
Form sees a close spread
4 games · 1–3 SU
PF/G: 21.8 · PA/G: 29.2
Diff/G: -7.5
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: LWL
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 29.8 · PA/G: 31.8
Diff/G: -2.0
ATS: 0–3–1
Last 3 ATS: LPL
Underdog 2026 ATS: 3–1–0 | 4 completed games
🔎 Recent form and historical rankings both favor the underdog
Rough scoring baseline: SF 24.4 · SEA 21.1
Against saved +3.0: +6.3 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 4–0 SU
PF/G: 30.5 · PA/G: 16.0
Diff/G: +14.5
ATS: 3–1–0
Last 3 ATS: WLW
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 26.2 · PA/G: 18.2
Diff/G: +8.0
ATS: 1–1–2
Last 3 ATS: WLP
Underdog 2026 ATS: 1–2–1 | 4 completed games
Rough scoring baseline: BAL 26.0 · ATL 24.0
Against saved +3.0: +5.0 point cushion
Form leans underdog
4 games · 3–1 SU
PF/G: 29.0 · PA/G: 24.0
Diff/G: +5.0
ATS: 1–2–1
Last 3 ATS: LPL
4 games · 2–2 SU
PF/G: 24.0 · PA/G: 23.0
Diff/G: +1.0
ATS: 2–2–0
Last 3 ATS: LWW