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Upcoming Matchups

Scheduled games in the next seven days. Historical trends use saved lines, not live odds. View October 11 archive

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Compare Historical Seasons

Analyzing 1999–2025 to evaluate upcoming 2026 games.

📖 Understanding the Numbers

Watchlist Rank: Games ranked by the historical Wilson lower bound of their predefined spread category. Games with identical scores share the same rank.

Historical ATS: Percentage of underdogs that covered the spread in matching historical games. Pushes are excluded.

Historical Games: Number of games matching the filters.

Spread Range: The historical range containing the upcoming underdog's spread.

95% Lower Bound: The conservative end of our Wilson confidence interval. Higher values provide stronger historical evidence for a high ATS rate.

Important: These are historical patterns, not probabilities that an underdog will cover Sunday's game.

Tied #1 HOU @ JAX Underdog: HOU +3.0

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 53.6% | 95% LB: 50.5%

2026-10-18 · 09:30 ET · Neutral venue
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+3-5.5 54.0% 1344 51.2%
+0.5-3 53.6% 1106 50.5%
+2.5-5 53.1% 1418 50.4%
Tied #1 CAR @ PHI Underdog: CAR +1.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 53.6% | 95% LB: 50.5%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+0.5-3 53.6% 1106 50.5%
+1-3.5 53.0% 1415 50.4%
+1.5-4 52.7% 1357 50.0%
Tied #1 NO @ NYG Underdog: NO +1.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 53.6% | 95% LB: 50.5%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+0.5-3 53.6% 1106 50.5%
+1-3.5 53.0% 1415 50.4%
+1.5-4 52.7% 1357 50.0%
Tied #4 NYJ @ NE Underdog: NYJ +7.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 7-9.5 | Historical ATS: 50.7% | 95% LB: 47.0%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+5.5-8 52.9% 959 49.7%
+5-7.5 52.8% 995 49.7%
+6.5-9 52.1% 786 48.6%
Tied #4 TEN @ IND Underdog: TEN +7.0

Ranking Basis: Spread 7-9.5 | Historical ATS: 50.7% | 95% LB: 47.0%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+4.5-7 53.3% 979 50.1%
+5.5-8 52.9% 959 49.7%
+5-7.5 52.8% 995 49.7%
Tied #4 LAC @ KC Underdog: LAC +8.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 7-9.5 | Historical ATS: 50.7% | 95% LB: 47.0%

2026-10-18 · 16:25 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+6.5-9 52.1% 786 48.6%
+6-8.5 51.8% 873 48.5%
+8.5-11 51.4% 511 47.0%
Watchlist Rank #7 ARI @ LA Underdog: ARI +12.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 10+ | Historical ATS: 50.3% | 95% LB: 46.3%

2026-10-18 · 16:05 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+10+ 50.3% 594 46.3%
+10-12.5 50.3% 351 45.0%
+11-13.5 50.4% 236 44.1%
Tied #8 CHI @ ATL Underdog: ATL +3.0

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 48.7% | 95% LB: 45.4%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+2.5-5 49.6% 973 46.4%
+2-4.5 49.5% 992 46.3%
+1.5-4 49.4% 988 46.2%
Tied #8 PIT @ TB Underdog: TB +3.0

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 48.7% | 95% LB: 45.4%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+2.5-5 49.6% 973 46.4%
+2-4.5 49.5% 992 46.3%
+1.5-4 49.4% 988 46.2%
Tied #10 BAL @ CLE Underdog: CLE +4.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 3.5-6.5 | Historical ATS: 48.5% | 95% LB: 44.6%

2026-10-18 · 13:00 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+2.5-5 49.6% 973 46.4%
+2-4.5 49.5% 992 46.3%
+3-5.5 48.9% 871 45.5%
Tied #10 BUF @ LV Underdog: LV +5.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 3.5-6.5 | Historical ATS: 48.5% | 95% LB: 44.6%

2026-10-18 · 16:25 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+5-7.5 51.6% 483 47.1%
+5.5-8 50.4% 463 45.9%
+3-5.5 48.9% 871 45.5%
Watchlist Rank #12 DAL @ GB Underdog: DAL +1.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 48.9% | 95% LB: 42.5%

2026-10-18 · 20:20 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+1-3.5 49.5% 313 43.9%
+1.5-4 49.5% 300 43.8%
+0.5-3 48.9% 241 42.5%
Watchlist Rank #13 SEA @ DEN Underdog: DEN +3.0

Ranking Basis: Spread 0.5-3 | Historical ATS: 47.9% | 95% LB: 40.3%

2026-10-15 · 20:15 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+1-3.5 47.8% 213 41.1%
+0.5-3 47.9% 171 40.3%
+1.5-4 46.6% 201 39.7%
Watchlist Rank #14 WAS @ SF Underdog: WAS +7.5

Ranking Basis: Spread 7-9.5 | Historical ATS: 44.4% | 95% LB: 36.2%

2026-10-19 · 20:15 ET
Frozen public-pick line · Oct 13, 11:17 AM ET

Exploratory Matching Ranges

Spread ATS Games 95% LB
+7.5-10 52.3% 113 43.0%
+5.5-8 47.3% 190 40.3%
+6-8.5 46.7% 173 39.4%