🕵🏾‍♂️ The Conspiracy Dungeon 🕵🏾‍♂️

Question everything. Test everything. Follow the evidence.

💰 Mike's Fade the Public

Fade teams receiving 65% or more of public dollars: spread, moneyline, or totals.

Status: Collecting evidence

🌙 Primetime Underdogs

Investigating underdog performance in nationally televised games.

Status: Weekly results

📉 Reverse Line Movement

Investigating games where betting lines move against the heavily backed side.

Status: Tracking recorded lines

🏈 NFL Anomalies

Unusual fumbles, turnovers, penalties, and other patterns.

Status: Four event categories

Mike's Fade the Public

2026 • All weeks

DraftKings • Public money ≥ 65% • Three markets

Selected archive results

New week appears Wednesday at noon Eastern. Cover rate excludes pushes.

Market Tallies

2026 • All weeks • 24 qualifying fades • 23 pending

Spread (ATS) 0-0-0

6 fades • 6 pending

N/A covers

Profit: Awaiting results

Moneyline (SU) 0-0-0

4 fades • 4 pending

N/A SU wins

Profit: Awaiting results

Total (O/U) 0-1-0

14 fades • 13 pending

0.0% covers

Profit: -1.00u • ROI -100.0%

One unit risked per qualifying fade at its saved odds. Pushes refund the stake and are excluded from win/cover rates. Tallies count selections, so one game can qualify in three markets.

Previous weeks

No previous-week three-market quotes recorded yet.

Running tallies — started Week 6, 2026*

Spread (ATS): 0-0-0 • 6 pending

Moneyline (SU): 0-0-0 • 4 pending

Total (O/U): 0-0-0 • 13 pending

* All three-market quotes are retained from collection onward. Earlier ATS-only snapshots remain saved separately.

View all recorded weeks

BUF @ LA

Week 5 • 2026-10-12

Spread (ATS)
Public money
BUF 58.0% • LA 42.0%Bets: BUF 66.0% • LA 34.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
BUF 63.0% • LA 37.0%Bets: BUF 62.0% • LA 38.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 85.0% • Under 15.0%Bets: Over 74.0% • Under 26.0%
Under 55.5 (-110)Loss • -1.00u

View Source

SEA @ DEN

Week 6 • 2026-10-15

Spread (ATS)
Public money
SEA 56.0% • DEN 44.0%Bets: SEA 70.0% • DEN 30.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
SEA 50.0% • DEN 50.0%Bets: SEA 73.0% • DEN 27.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 78.0% • Under 22.0%Bets: Over 79.0% • Under 21.0%
Under 40.5 (-108)Pending

View Source

ARI @ LA

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
ARI 36.0% • LA 64.0%Bets: ARI 49.0% • LA 51.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
ARI 50.0% • LA 50.0%Bets: ARI 7.0% • LA 93.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 93.0% • Under 7.0%Bets: Over 70.0% • Under 30.0%
Under 52.5 (-110)Pending

View Source

BAL @ CLE

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
BAL 87.0% • CLE 13.0%Bets: BAL 64.0% • CLE 36.0%
CLE +4.5 (-108)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
BAL 57.0% • CLE 43.0%Bets: BAL 89.0% • CLE 11.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 24.0% • Under 76.0%Bets: Over 71.0% • Under 29.0%
Over 41.5 (-108)Pending

View Source

BUF @ LV

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
BUF 54.0% • LV 46.0%Bets: BUF 65.0% • LV 35.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
BUF 42.0% • LV 58.0%Bets: BUF 87.0% • LV 13.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 93.0% • Under 7.0%Bets: Over 67.0% • Under 33.0%
Under 53.5 (-115)Pending

View Source

CAR @ PHI

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
CAR 3.0% • PHI 97.0%Bets: CAR 52.0% • PHI 48.0%
CAR +1.5 (-115)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
CAR 48.0% • PHI 52.0%Bets: CAR 44.0% • PHI 56.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 94.0% • Under 6.0%Bets: Over 90.0% • Under 10.0%
Under 40.5 (-110)Pending

View Source

CHI @ ATL

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
CHI 39.0% • ATL 61.0%Bets: CHI 46.0% • ATL 54.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
CHI 22.0% • ATL 78.0%Bets: CHI 48.0% • ATL 52.0%
CHI (-180)Pending
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 97.0% • Under 3.0%Bets: Over 59.0% • Under 41.0%
Under 49.5 (-112)Pending

View Source

DAL @ GB

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
DAL 50.0% • GB 50.0%Bets: DAL 55.0% • GB 45.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
DAL 41.0% • GB 59.0%Bets: DAL 43.0% • GB 57.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 100.0% • Under 0.0%Bets: Over 97.0% • Under 3.0%
Under 52.5 (-105)Pending

View Source

HOU @ JAX

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
HOU 56.0% • JAX 44.0%Bets: HOU 26.0% • JAX 74.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
HOU 26.0% • JAX 74.0%Bets: HOU 20.0% • JAX 80.0%
HOU (+124)Pending
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 19.0% • Under 81.0%Bets: Over 81.0% • Under 19.0%
Over 42.5 (-118)Pending

View Source

LAC @ KC

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
LAC 33.0% • KC 67.0%Bets: LAC 53.0% • KC 47.0%
LAC +8.5 (-115)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
LAC 49.0% • KC 51.0%Bets: LAC 6.0% • KC 94.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 3.0% • Under 97.0%Bets: Over 61.0% • Under 39.0%
Over 42.5 (-108)Pending

View Source

NO @ NYG

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
NO 51.0% • NYG 49.0%Bets: NO 40.0% • NYG 60.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
NO 52.0% • NYG 48.0%Bets: NO 41.0% • NYG 59.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 86.0% • Under 14.0%Bets: Over 77.0% • Under 23.0%
Under 45.5 (-112)Pending

View Source

NYJ @ NE

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
NYJ 6.0% • NE 94.0%Bets: NYJ 24.0% • NE 76.0%
NYJ +7.5 (-115)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
NYJ 7.0% • NE 93.0%Bets: NYJ 6.0% • NE 94.0%
NYJ (+300)Pending
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 49.0% • Under 51.0%Bets: Over 85.0% • Under 15.0%
No fadeBelow threshold

View Source

PIT @ TB

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
PIT 55.0% • TB 45.0%Bets: PIT 60.0% • TB 40.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
PIT 50.0% • TB 50.0%Bets: PIT 75.0% • TB 25.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 86.0% • Under 14.0%Bets: Over 70.0% • Under 30.0%
Under 40.5 (-115)Pending

View Source

TEN @ IND

Week 6 • 2026-10-18

Spread (ATS)
Public money
TEN 4.0% • IND 96.0%Bets: TEN 29.0% • IND 71.0%
TEN +7 (-112)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
TEN 9.0% • IND 91.0%Bets: TEN 6.0% • IND 94.0%
TEN (+260)Pending
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 28.0% • Under 72.0%Bets: Over 25.0% • Under 75.0%
Over 44.5 (-102)Pending

View Source

WAS @ SF

Week 6 • 2026-10-19

Spread (ATS)
Public money
WAS 1.0% • SF 99.0%Bets: WAS 36.0% • SF 64.0%
WAS +7.5 (-112)Pending
Moneyline (SU)
Public money
WAS 45.0% • SF 55.0%Bets: WAS 8.0% • SF 92.0%
No fadeBelow threshold
Total (O/U)
Public money
Over 82.0% • Under 18.0%Bets: Over 67.0% • Under 33.0%
Under 50.5 (+100)Pending

View Source