Forecast Tracker

Empower Field at Mile High · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

SEA

Prior-game clock pace: 35.4 seconds between qualifying snaps · 169 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Sam Darnold · 98 earlier pass attempts · -0.042 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Drew Lock · 48 earlier pass attempts · 0.199 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Jalen Milroe · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

DEN

Prior-game clock pace: 31.6 seconds between qualifying snaps · 160 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Bo Nix · 162 earlier pass attempts · -0.007 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Jarrett Stidham · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Sam Ehlinger · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: SEA -3. Quoted odds: away -102 · home -118

Experimental SEA cover estimate: 50.5%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 40.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -118 · Under -102

Estimated total: 42.7 points · Over estimate: 56.7% · Under estimate: 43.3%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Wembley Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

HOU

Prior-game clock pace: 32.6 seconds between qualifying snaps · 190 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 C.J. Stroud · 185 earlier pass attempts · 0.086 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Davis Mills · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Graham Mertz · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

JAX

Prior-game clock pace: 34.1 seconds between qualifying snaps · 157 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Trevor Lawrence · 143 earlier pass attempts · 0.201 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Quinn Ewers · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: HOU +3. Quoted odds: away -120 · home +100

Experimental HOU cover estimate: 48.9%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 42.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -118 · Under -102

Estimated total: 37.7 points · Over estimate: 35.6% · Under estimate: 64.4%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Huntington Bank Field · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

BAL

Prior-game clock pace: 36.3 seconds between qualifying snaps · 147 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Lamar Jackson · 96 earlier pass attempts · 0.226 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tyler Huntley · 41 earlier pass attempts · 0.075 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Joe Fagnano · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#4 Skylar Thompson · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

CLE

Prior-game clock pace: 30.7 seconds between qualifying snaps · 156 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Deshaun Watson · 148 earlier pass attempts · 0.044 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Shedeur Sanders · 1 earlier pass attempts · 0.064 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Taylen Green · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#4 Dillon Gabriel · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: BAL -4.5. Quoted odds: away -105 · home -115

Experimental BAL cover estimate: 54.9%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 40.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -115 · Under -105

Estimated total: 41.3 points · Over estimate: 52.4% · Under estimate: 47.6%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Lincoln Financial Field · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

CAR

Prior-game clock pace: 28.6 seconds between qualifying snaps · 142 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Bryce Young · 162 earlier pass attempts · 0.184 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Kenny Pickett · 1 earlier pass attempts · 0.064 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Haynes King · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

PHI

Prior-game clock pace: 33.3 seconds between qualifying snaps · 176 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Jalen Hurts · 154 earlier pass attempts · -0.011 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tanner McKee · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Cole Payton · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: CAR +1.5. Quoted odds: away -115 · home -105

Experimental CAR cover estimate: 49.1%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 41.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -115 · Under -105

Estimated total: 42.9 points · Over estimate: 54.3% · Under estimate: 45.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Retractable roof; game setting unconfirmed

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

CHI

Prior-game clock pace: 33.1 seconds between qualifying snaps · 218 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Caleb Williams · 55 earlier pass attempts · 0.157 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tyson Bagent · 64 earlier pass attempts · 0.010 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Case Keenum · 53 earlier pass attempts · 0.050 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

ATL

Prior-game clock pace: 35.6 seconds between qualifying snaps · 188 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Michael Penix Jr. · 77 earlier pass attempts · 0.196 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tua Tagovailoa · 3 earlier pass attempts · 0.052 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Cooper Rush · 39 earlier pass attempts · -0.152 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#4 Jack Strand · 15 earlier pass attempts · -0.052 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: CHI -3. Quoted odds: away -120 · home +100

Experimental CHI cover estimate: 41.2%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 49.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -108 · Under -112

Estimated total: 54.3 points · Over estimate: 64.4% · Under estimate: 35.6%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

MetLife Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

NO

Prior-game clock pace: 30.1 seconds between qualifying snaps · 178 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Tyler Shough · 205 earlier pass attempts · 0.006 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Spencer Rattler · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Zach Wilson · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

NYG

Prior-game clock pace: 34.2 seconds between qualifying snaps · 189 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Jameis Winston · 132 earlier pass attempts · -0.005 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 J.J. McCarthy · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Jake Haener · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#4 Jaxson Dart · 34 earlier pass attempts · 0.207 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: NO +1.5. Quoted odds: away -120 · home +100

Experimental NO cover estimate: 48.9%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 45.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -108 · Under -112

Estimated total: 45.9 points · Over estimate: 51.3% · Under estimate: 48.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Gillette Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

NYJ

Prior-game clock pace: 34.0 seconds between qualifying snaps · 171 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Geno Smith · 147 earlier pass attempts · 0.063 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Cade Klubnik · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

NE

Prior-game clock pace: 32.5 seconds between qualifying snaps · 163 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Drake Maye · 151 earlier pass attempts · 0.109 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tommy DeVito · 5 earlier pass attempts · 0.061 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Behren Morton · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: NYJ +7.5. Quoted odds: away -115 · home -105

Experimental NYJ cover estimate: 49.0%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 43.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -115 · Under -105

Estimated total: 45.1 points · Over estimate: 55.0% · Under estimate: 45.0%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Raymond James Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

PIT

Prior-game clock pace: 32.8 seconds between qualifying snaps · 167 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Aaron Rodgers · 184 earlier pass attempts · -0.025 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Mason Rudolph · 1 earlier pass attempts · 0.064 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Will Howard · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#4 Drew Allar · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

TB

Prior-game clock pace: 34.1 seconds between qualifying snaps · 170 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Baker Mayfield · 96 earlier pass attempts · -0.117 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Jalon Daniels · 55 earlier pass attempts · 0.051 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: PIT -3. Quoted odds: away -102 · home -118

Experimental PIT cover estimate: 52.2%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 40.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -110 · Under -110

Estimated total: 43.3 points · Over estimate: 58.5% · Under estimate: 41.5%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Lucas Oil Stadium · Retractable roof; game setting unconfirmed

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

TEN

Prior-game clock pace: 30.7 seconds between qualifying snaps · 123 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Cam Ward · 155 earlier pass attempts · -0.092 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Mitchell Trubisky · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

IND

Prior-game clock pace: 32.8 seconds between qualifying snaps · 198 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Daniel Jones · 176 earlier pass attempts · -0.062 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Anthony Richardson Sr. · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Riley Leonard · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: TEN +7. Quoted odds: away -112 · home -108

Experimental TEN cover estimate: 45.1%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 44.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -102 · Under -118

Estimated total: 47.0 points · Over estimate: 57.7% · Under estimate: 42.3%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

SoFi Stadium · Covered venue; field exposure unverified

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

ARI

Prior-game clock pace: 31.8 seconds between qualifying snaps · 164 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Jacoby Brissett · 199 earlier pass attempts · 0.009 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Gardner Minshew II · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Carson Beck · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

LA

Prior-game clock pace: 31.0 seconds between qualifying snaps · 189 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Matthew Stafford · 216 earlier pass attempts · 0.123 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Stetson Bennett IV · 3 earlier pass attempts · 0.069 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Ty Simpson · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#4 Matthew Caldwell · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: ARI +13.5. Quoted odds: away -115 · home -105

Experimental ARI cover estimate: 48.4%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 52.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -105 · Under -115

Estimated total: 50.3 points · Over estimate: 43.3% · Under estimate: 56.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Allegiant Stadium · Fixed dome; outside weather is context only

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

BUF

Prior-game clock pace: 32.1 seconds between qualifying snaps · 176 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Josh Allen · 138 earlier pass attempts · 0.207 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Kyle Allen · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

LV

Prior-game clock pace: 32.9 seconds between qualifying snaps · 175 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Kirk Cousins · 172 earlier pass attempts · 0.152 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Fernando Mendoza · 8 earlier pass attempts · 0.075 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Aidan O'Connell · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: BUF -6. Quoted odds: away -110 · home -110

Experimental BUF cover estimate: 52.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 53.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -105 · Under -115

Estimated total: 52.3 points · Over estimate: 46.3% · Under estimate: 53.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

LAC

Prior-game clock pace: 31.4 seconds between qualifying snaps · 178 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Justin Herbert · 143 earlier pass attempts · -0.099 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 DJ Uiagalelei · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Trey Lance · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

KC

Prior-game clock pace: 31.7 seconds between qualifying snaps · 146 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Patrick Mahomes · 128 earlier pass attempts · 0.143 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Justin Fields · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Garrett Nussmeier · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: LAC +8.5. Quoted odds: away -115 · home -105

Experimental LAC cover estimate: 44.7%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 42.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -108 · Under -112

Estimated total: 44.1 points · Over estimate: 55.1% · Under estimate: 44.9%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:58 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Lambeau Field · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

DAL

Prior-game clock pace: 30.0 seconds between qualifying snaps · 202 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Dak Prescott · 192 earlier pass attempts · 0.179 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Sam Howell · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

GB

Prior-game clock pace: 33.3 seconds between qualifying snaps · 146 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Jordan Love · 185 earlier pass attempts · 0.100 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Tyrod Taylor · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: DAL +1.5. Quoted odds: away -118 · home -102

Experimental DAL cover estimate: 52.1%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 52.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -115 · Under -105

Estimated total: 50.4 points · Over estimate: 43.6% · Under estimate: 56.4%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.

Levi's Stadium · Open-air metadata

Captured: Oct 13, 10:36 AM ET

Outside grid forecast from Open-Meteo. Model issuance time unavailable. This update was not used in the frozen prediction; no weather point adjustment is applied.

Hourly samples span kickoff hour through three hours later. Outside conditions may differ from the field, particularly under a roof. Roof context source.

Personnel observed: Oct 13, 10:20 AM ET. This separate update was not used in the frozen forecasts above.

WAS

Prior-game clock pace: 32.3 seconds between qualifying snaps · 171 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Jayden Daniels · 76 earlier pass attempts · 0.049 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Marcus Mariota · 51 earlier pass attempts · 0.121 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#3 Athan Kaliakmanis · 33 earlier pass attempts · -0.025 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

SF

Prior-game clock pace: 33.8 seconds between qualifying snaps · 161 measured pairs. Research only; excludes final two minutes, overtime and margins over 14. This is game-clock pace, not real elapsed time, and was not used in the frozen forecast.

Starter confirmation: unavailable. Depth-chart order lists candidates, not a verified starter.

Depth chart updated: Oct 13, 02:02 AM ET

#1 Brock Purdy · 142 earlier pass attempts · 0.266 smoothed passing EPA / attempt

#2 Mac Jones · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

#3 Kurtis Rourke · 0 earlier pass attempts · No prior sample

Injury coverage: unknown. Missing reports do not mean healthy.

Frozen DraftKings line: WAS +7.5. Quoted odds: away -112 · home -108

Experimental WAS cover estimate: 47.9%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Values contribute to log odds, not point bonuses.

Frozen DraftKings line: 50.5 points. Quoted odds: Over -118 · Under -102

Estimated total: 50.4 points · Over estimate: 49.6% · Under estimate: 50.4%

Forecast sealed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Quote observed: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET
Statistics retrieved: Oct 13, 12:52 AM ET

Contribution breakdown

Point contributions add to the unrounded total estimate.